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Severe TC Narelle is causing destructive winds, heavy rain & storms over northwest WA. A trough extending south is spreading storms along WA's west. A low is increasing wind & rain across southern NSW and eastern Vic. Onshore winds are bringing showers to southern SA, Vic & Tas.
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26 Mar 2026, 9:40PM UTC
Severe weather lashing southeastern Australia as Tasman Sea low intensifies
A deepening low pressure system over the Tasman Sea is causing severe weather in parts of Victoria, New South Wales and the ACT, with damaging winds, heavy rain, thunderstorms, large waves and highland snow. Severe storms in NSW on Thursday A cold front passing over southeastern Australia on Thursday caused rain and storms to spread over NSW. Behind this front, cold air and blustery southerly winds caused temperatures to plummet in Vic and Tas. Thursday’s thunderstorms caused wind gusts of up to 115 km/h at Dubbo and above 90 km/h at Mudgee, Coonamble and Cobar during the afternoon. As the storms move further east late in the day, they dropped heavy rain and large hail in parts of Sydney. These storms also produced a large amount of lightning. Weatherzone’s Total Lightning Network detected more than 330,000 lightning pulses within a 400 km radius of Oberon during the 12 hours ending at 8 pm AEDT on Thursday. Image: The red symbols show lightning pulses detected between 8 am and 8 pm AEDT on Thursday, March 26, 2026. Source: Weatherzone. More severe weather on Friday Severe weather will continue to batter southeastern Australia on Friday as a low pressure system deepens rapidly over the western Tasman Sea. Rain and flooding Rain will continue to soak areas from southern Vic up to central NSW on Friday. The heaviest falls are expected to occur in Vic’s East Gippsland district, where rain rates could reach 60 to 80 mm in six hours, which is enough to cause flash flooding. Some of Friday’s precipitation will fall as snow in elevated areas of northeast Vic and southeast NSW. Wind and waves The intensifying low will cause powerful southerly winds over exposed areas of southeastern Australia on Friday. Severe weather warnings have been issued for damaging winds in parts of central and eastern Vic and southeast and central NSW, including parts of the ACT. The ferocious winds will create huge waves that will first build to the east of the Bass Strait on Friday morning before spreading up the NSW coastline on Friday and Saturday. This surge of southerly swell will cause waves of 4 to 8 metres along the NSW coast, with damaging surf expected to cause coastal erosion from the Vic border up to about Seal Rocks. Image: Forecast significant wave height at 1am AEDT on Saturday. Source: Weatherzone. After battering southeastern Australia on Friday, the low pressure system will move out over the Tasman Sea on Saturday. This will allow rain and wind to ease on Saturday as the low moves further offshore, with swell easing from Sunday.
26 Mar 2026, 12:20AM UTC
Destructive winds imminent as Cyclone Narelle approaches WA
The destructive wind field surrounding Severe Tropical Cyclone Narelle will start impacting Western Australia’s Pilbara district today, beginning a prolonged period of violent weather that will last for more than 24 hours and extend over 800 km across northwestern Australia. At 5am AWST on Thursday, March 26, Severe Tropical Cyclone Narelle was a category 3 system located around 240 km to the north of Karratha. At that time, sustained wind speeds near Narelle’s core were estimated to be reaching about 155 km/h, with peak gusts around 220 km/h. Narelle is a big tropical cyclone with an unusually large destructive wind field. Early on Thursday morning, when the system’s centre was located about 250 km off the WA coast, Narelle’s destructive wind field (wind gusts above 125 km/h) was extending around 200 km to the southeast of its core. The more powerful very destructive wind field (wind gusts exceeding 165 km/h) extended about 50 to 60km from Narelle’s core. Image: Visible satellite image showing Severe Tropical Cyclone Narelle to the north of WA on Thursday, March 26, 2026. Source: Weatherzone. Narelle forecast to intensify further Severe Tropical Cyclone Narelle is located in an environment that will allow it to strengthen further on Thursday into Friday morning. The latest forecast track map from the Bureau of Meteorology, issued at 5:46 am AWST on Thursday, predicts that Narelle will peak in strength as a high-end category 4 system on Friday morning. However, it may undergo rapid intensification and become a category 5 system by Friday morning. As Narelle gains strength, it will move in a southwesterly direction that will allow it to gradually get closer to the Pilbara coast during Thursday and Friday morning. The system should then turn towards the south and make landfall over the Gascoyne coast late on Friday or early Saturday, most likely as a category 3 system. The approach angle of Narelle will be roughly parallel to the Gascoyne coast, which will cause a gradual landfall and prolong its impacts. The combination of Narelle increasing strength while gradually approaching land, followed by a protracted landfall, will expose a large area of WA’s Pilbara and Gascoyne districts to Narelle’s violent weather. This will include very destructive winds, heavy rain, large waves, abnormally high tides and coastal inundation. Image: Forecast track map issued by the Bureau of Meteorology at 5:46 am AWST on Thursday, March 26, 2026. Source: Bureau of Meteorology. According to the Bureau, “destructive wind gusts in excess of 125 km/h may occur on the Pilbara coast near Karratha during Thursday morning, extending west to Exmouth during Thursday, and south to Carnarvon and then to Denham and the Overlander Roadhouse during Friday.” The more powerful winds closer to Narelle’s core could start to impact the WA coast by Thursday night. The Bureau says “very destructive wind gusts up to 275 km/h may develop west of Onslow later on Thursday as Narelle moves closer to the North West Cape. Carnarvon could see wind gusts up to 220 km/h during Friday, and wind gusts up to 195 km/h could extend to Denham late Friday or early Saturday.” Heavy rain is also expected over western parts of the Pilbara and Gascoyne districts on Thursday and Friday, which is likely to cause flash flooding. A dangerous storm tide accompanied by damaging waves will also develop between about Onslow and Denham as Narelle tracks further south over the next two days. This is likely to cause flooding in low-lying coastal areas. Forecast details may change over the next 24 to 48 hours as Severe Tropical Cyclone Narelle continues to evolve. Check the latest tropical cyclone advisories and warnings for the most up to date information.
25 Mar 2026, 2:08AM UTC
NSW and Victoria bracing for severe wintry weather this Friday
A powerful low pressure system will cause damaging winds, heavy rain and large waves in Victoria and New South Wales this Friday, along with a burst of cold weather that will bring early-season snow to mountains in four states and territories. A cold front crossing southeastern Australia on Thursday will cause a low pressure system to spin up over the western Tasman Sea on Friday. While the cold front will bring its own surge of cold, wet and windy weather, the low pressure system will be the most dangerous part of this weather event. Rain and thunderstorms will spread across southeastern Australia on Thursday as a southwesterly wind change associated with the front causes temperatures to drop over Tasmania, Vic, NSW, South Australia and the ACT. Snow is expected to start falling in Tas and Vic on Thursday, possibly reaching around 1000 metres above sea level in Tas during the afternoon and night. On Friday, southerly winds will strengthen considerably over eastern areas of NSW, Vic and Tas, and the ACT. These powerful winds will be caused by a low pressure system deepening rapidly over the western Tasman Sea, most likely centred off the south coast of NSW. Damaging winds are likely to affect parts of NSW and Vic on Friday and will probably extend to the ACT and eastern Tas as well. Image: Forecast wind gusts at 5pm AEDT on Friday, March 27, 2026. Source: Weatherzone. In addition to the wind, heavy rain and highland snow will affect eastern Vic and southeast NSW on Friday. Some areas could see 50 to 100 mm of rain during Thursday and Friday combined, which may cause localised flash flooding. The coasts in eastern Vic and NSW will also get hit by huge waves on Friday and Saturday, with wave heights expected to reach around 3 to 5 metres, possibly exceeding 5 metres along the NSW coast late Friday into Saturday morning. These waves will make coastal activities including swimming and fishing dangerous, and they will cause coastal erosion at south-facing beaches. This week’s burst of wintry weather will be a noticeable change from the recent warm spell in southeastern Australia: Melbourne’s maximum temperatures have reached 27 to 30°C during the last four days. The city’s maximums are forecast to drop to 18°C on Thursday and 16°C on Friday. Hobart is forecast to reach tops of 16°C on Thursday and 15°C on Friday. This would make Friday the city’s coldest day so far this year. Canberra’s temperature is forecast to only reach as high as 15°C on Friday. This follows a week-long run of temperatures above 26°C during the past seven days. Sydney will see a temperature drop of about 10°C in 24 hours, with maximums forecast to reach 30°C on Thursday and 20°C on Friday.