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An active monsoon across the tropics & a low over NW Qld bring scattered showers & storms, with heavy falls in Qld. A southerly change in the east and an unstable airmass over western WA are generating showers. Some showers following a cold front are occurring over Tas & Vic.
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Today, 12:10AM UTC
Sweet relief for Perth after hottest early-March heat in decades
Hot conditions have gripped Perth during the first week of March, although a cooler southerly change on Monday should finally bring relief. At Perth Airport, every day since Tuesday has exceeded 36 °C, culminating in 41.5 °C on Saturday – about 11.7 °C warmer than the long‑term March average of 29.8 °C, and the airport’s hottest day this late in the season in more than two decades (eclipsing its previous late‑season benchmark from 23 March 2005). Perth Metro also sizzled – Saturday’s 40.3 °C was 10.6 °C above average, making it the hottest day this late in the season since 2012. Both sites also recorded four consecutive days above 36 °C, reflecting a notable run of hot days for this time of year. Image: Observed maximum temperatures at 3:20pm AWST across parts of southwest WA on Saturday, March 7, 2026. Weatherzone. The heatwave was driven by a high in the Bight directing north to northeasterly winds into a west coast trough. This circulation drew hot desert air towards the west coast and delayed/suppressed the cooling sea breeze, allowing temperatures to soar. The hot airmass also affected large parts of WA. On Saturday, temperatures exceeded 40 °C at several inland stations, including Dalwallinu (40.8 °C), Badgingarra Research Station (40.5 °C) and Cunderdin Airport (40.9 °C). These readings are the warmest this late in the season since the early 2000s for many of those sites. Other northern towns such as Paraburdoo (43 °C), Newman Airport (41.3 °C), Telfer (41.1 °C), Marble Bar (40.7 °C) and Mardie (40 °C) registered their highest March maxima in at least 24 years. Relief on the way, but more heat could follow A change is on the horizon. The trough near the west coast is forecast to shift east on Monday as a cold front clips the southwest, bringing a gusty southerly and cooler air through the afternoon. A strong ridge of high pressure will then build over southwest WA, causing fresh to strong winds and much milder temperatures early to mid-next week. Maximums in Perth should drop into the mid‑to‑high 20s during this period. By Thursday, however, as the high moves into the Southern Ocean, easterly winds are likely to return and a new west coast trough may redevelop, potentially bringing another burst of heat with temperatures above 30 °C by next weekend and into early to mid‑next week.
07 Mar 2026, 12:21AM UTC
Heavy downpours for Sydney and eastern NSW this weekend
Sydney and much of eastern NSW are set for a wet and stormy weekend, with showers, thunderstorms and heavy bursts of rain likely across the region. The heaviest falls are expected on Sunday, when the risk of flash flooding will be highest. A lingering trough will generate showers and thunderstorms on Saturday, with falls of around 30-50mm possible across parts of the east, including Sydney. Locally heavier totals above 50mm may occur in thunderstorms. The main concern is expected to develop on Sunday as a trough and front move over the Tasman Sea, with an associated upper disturbance and gusty southerly change pushing north along the NSW coast. This setup is expected to maintain unsettled conditions and bring a burst of heavier showers and a few isolated thunderstorms from the Illawarra through Sydney and up to the Central Coast and Newcastle. Some models indicate the potential for very heavy localised falls on Sunday, with pockets possibly exceeding 150mm in a day and 60-80+mm in six hours along the coast and nearby inland. This could lead to localised flash flooding across parts of the Illawarra, Sydney metropolitan, Central Coast and Newcastle regions, with southerly wind gusts of 60-70km/h also possible along exposed coastal headlands. Further north, northeast NSW could also see heavy rainfall on Sunday if a trough extends south from Queensland into the region. This setup could bring falls in excess of 60-80 mm in parts of the Northern Rivers and adjacent ranges. Image: Forecast accumulated rain to 5pm AEDT on Sunday, March 8, 2026, according to the Acc-C model. Weatherzone. Motorists should take extra care on the roads and avoid driving through floodwaters as conditions may change rapidly in areas affected by heavy downpours.
06 Mar 2026, 3:35AM UTC
Queensland flood risk as heavy tropical rain spreads south
Heavy rain has inundated parts of northern Queensland over the last two days, and the state’s southeast could be next in line for heavy falls over the weekend. However, there is a high amount of uncertainty about how much rain will hit southeast Qld over the weekend, which makes it difficult to predict the likelihood of flooding. Heavy rain in northern Qld A tropical low has caused intense rainfall over Qld’s North Tropical Coast on Thursday. Some rain gauges in the Daintree region received 300 to 400 mm of rain in the 24 hours to 9am on Friday, including more than 200 mm in six hours. A rain gauge at Bairds received 240 mm in six hours on Thursday night. Unsurprisingly, the Daintree River level at Bairds rose rapidly in response to this deluge, going from 3.7 metres at 11am AEST on Thursday to 13.9 metres at 11pm, an increase of more than 10 metres in 12 hours. Thursday night’s river level at Bairds exceeded the major flood height by close to 2 metres. While rain had eased over northern Qld on Friday morning, the tropical low could continue to cause areas of heavy rain into Friday night as it moves over land from the Coral Sea. At 2pm AEST on Friday, a severe weather warning was in place for heavy rainfall in parts of the Peninsula, Gulf Country, North Tropical Coast and Tablelands, Northern Goldfields and Upper Flinders and Herbert and Lower Burdekin Forecast Districts. Rain risk spreading south this weekend The surge of tropical moisture that has fuelled heavy rain in northern Qld over the last 24 hours is expected to spread further south this weekend, feeding into a low pressure trough and the remnants of the tropical low. However, there is currently a high amount of uncertainty regarding how far south the rain will spread, and how much will fall. Some computer models predict that moderate to heavy rain will spread over a broad area of central and southern Qld between now and Monday, with potential for more than 200 mm of accumulated rain in southeast Qld. Other models disagree on the intensity of the rain for the state’s southeast, instead keeping the heavier falls further north over central Qld. The two maps below show the forecast accumulated rain over the next seven days, highlighting the model disagreement for the state’s southeast. Image: Forecast accumulated rain during the seven days ending at 10pm AEST on Thursday, March 12, 2026, according to the ECMWF model. Weatherzone. Image: Forecast accumulated rain during the seven days ending at 4am AEST on Friday, March 13, 2026, according to the GFS model. Source: Weatherzone. The forecast uncertainty for southeast Qld this weekend and early next week will mean daily rainfall predictions will feature large ranges and may jump around in the coming days. For example, The Bureau of Meteorology’s current rainfall forecast for Brisbane has a range of 15 to 70 mm on Sunday and 10 to 60 mm on Monday. The lower number in these ranges is what is most likely to fall (a 75% chance of at least that amount) each day, while the second number in the range only has a low chance of occurring (25% chance of at least that amount). Be sure to stay up to date with the latest forecasts and warnings over the coming days if you live in northern, central or eastern Qld.