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A low over central Aus brings storms & rain to the southern NT & SA & western Vic. An active monsoon across the northern tropics is bringing scattered showers & storms. Onshore winds bring showers to the east coast. A cold front approaching SW WA brings the odd shower.
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Today, 4:23AM UTC
Update: Heavy rain drenching South Australia and Victoria, and much more to come
The low pressure system over the country’s interior has been slowly moving southward, as stated in Anthony Sharwood’s story, leading to increased heavy falls over South Australia and Victoria. Flooding rainfall persists over South Australia, with a severe weather warning active for every district in the state. Yesterday the heaviest falls were recorded in the state’s west, with 24-hour totals recorded and estimated to have reached: 180mm at Ooldea (midday Fri 27th to midday Sat 28th) 124mm at Perlubie 120mm at Wirrulla 112mm at Mundamuckla 101mm at Gawler Ranges 100mm at Maralinga In the 24 hours to 9am this morning (28th February) South Australia saw: 103mm in Minnipa (and a further 25mm+ from 9am) 75.2mm in Ceduna (and a further 30mm+ from 9am) 69.0mm in Wudinna (and a further 15mm+ from 9am) 45.4mm in Parndana 33.0mm in Rayville 31.0mm in Woomera For many places in the state's west, it's been the heaviest rain in several years, decades in some places. Victoria also experienced heavy falls yesterday. Some cities in western Victoria saw the heaviest rainfall in the 24 hours on February 27th than they had seen in the last 3-8 years, if not the highest February falls in a decade! Some of these cities include: Horsham saw 96.4mm in 24 hours. The heaviest fall on record for the city (where the record starts at 1998). Of this 96.4mm, approximately 91.0mm of it fell in one hour! Longerenong saw 52.6mm in 24 hours. The heaviest fall since November 2018, and heaviest February rain since 1973 Warracknabeal saw 47.8mm in 24 hours. The heaviest fall since January 2022 Edenhope saw 32.4mm in 24 hours. The heaviest fall since November 2023, and heaviest February rain since 2020 Kilmore Gap saw 24.4mm in 24 hours. The heaviest February rain since 2013 Latrobe Valley saw 30.2mm in 24 hours. The heaviest February rain since 2015 Charlton saw 27.2mm in 24 hours. The heaviest February rain since 2016 Rainfall is expected to persist over South Australia this weekend, slowly moving into Victoria and western NSW on Monday as a front pushes the weakening low eastward. The heaviest rainfall is expected with thunderstorms, as southeast South Australia experienced this morning; more than 110,000 lightning strikes in the 300km around Mount Gambier Saturday 28th morning and 10 to 30mm of rainfall per location in the vicinity. A severe weather warning was issued for these thunderstorms by the Bureau of Meteorology for this morning. Image: Radar detected lightning strikes within a 300km radius of Mount Gambier Daily rainfall totals exceeding 100mm can be expected for SA over the weekend, with similar rates possible in Victoria on Monday. The Bureau of Meteorology has issued severe weather and flood warnings for South Australia, western Victoria and southwest New South Wales today, which are likely to be extended for Sunday and Monday at the very least.
27 Feb 2026, 5:08AM UTC
Adelaide set for wettest weekend in months in SA deluge
Heavy rain is forecast for parts of South Australia this weekend, including Adelaide, with Sunday in particular likely to be by far the wettest day of 2026 to date for the SA capital. Not that it would take much rain to exceed the paltry amounts that have fallen this year. So far in 2026, Adelaide has received just 3.6mm of rainfall All of this year’s rainfall has been in February after a totally dry January. December was also very dry in Adelaide with just 2.8mm, meaning summer has thus far yielded just 6.4mm of rainfall. But as mentioned, significant rainfall is forecast for this weekend, as a low pressure system which has been sitting over central Australia all week tracks southwards. Image: Forecast precipitable water levels (atmospheric moisture available for rainfall) and mean sea level pressure for Sunday, March 1, 2026, showing the low centred near Port Augusta. Source: Weatherzone. How much rain can Adelaide expect? The BoM is forecasting 7mm to 30mm on Saturday and 10mm to 50mm on Sunday for Adelaide. This relatively wide range illustrates a high level of uncertainty as to whether the abundant atmospheric moisture will reach Adelaide. That uncertainty is mirrored in the output of the two main international models that cover Australian weather. The EC model (below) is fairly bullish regarding the prospect of much-needed rainfall in most southern parts of South Australia. It also forecasts particularly heavy rainfall in parts of the Eyre Peninsula and dry areas further north. Image: Predicted South Australia rainfall accumulation up until 10:30pm (ACDT) on Sunday, March 1, 2026, according to the EC model. Source: Weatherzone. The GFS model (below) is a little less confident for Adelaide and nearby parts of the state, although it does indicate that significant widespread rainfall is likely. Image: Predicted South Australia rainfall accumulation up until 4:30am (ACDT) on Monday, March 2, 2026, according to the GFS model. Source: Weatherzone. Flooding and flash flooding likely in parts of SA Wherever the rain hits, and whatever the eventual totals, this is an event that is likely to generate localised flooding and flash flooding in parts of both South Australia and Victoria. The BoM’s SA weather warnings issued on Friday include an inland flood warning for flooding that is already occurring along Cooper Creek at Innamincka in the far northeast of the state, with many roads and access tracks impacted by flooding, in particular river and creek crossings. You don’t see a flood warning for that region too often. Looking ahead, the BoM has also issued a flood watch for a long list of areas within South Australia from Kangaroo Island to the outback. Please be careful this weekend, obey all road signs, and never drive, walk, swim or play in floodwaters.
26 Feb 2026, 11:05PM UTC
Sydney flash flooding after 100 mm in under three hours
Heavy rain and thunderstorms inundated parts of Sydney, the Illawarra and the Central Coast over the last 24 hours, with locally intense falls causing flash flooding in some areas. A steady stream of moisture-laden easterly winds feeding into a slow-moving low pressure trough caused heavy and persistent rain along the central coastline of NSW on Thursday into Friday morning. The heavy falls started in the Illawarra on Thursday before spreading north into Sydney from the afternoon and then extending further north to the Central Coast overnight into Friday morning. Image: Composite satellite, radar and lightning strikes over the Sydney region on Thursday night into Friday morning. Source: Weatherzone. Some of the standout rainfall totals in the 24 hours to 9am on Friday included: 131 mm at Mount Pleasant near Wollongong 122 mm at Lidcombe in Sydney, including 105 mm in three hours and 73 mm in just one hour 122 mm at Darkes Forest 115 mm at Shanes Park in Western Sydney, including 74 mm in three hours and 45 mm in one hour 103 mm at Avalon 101 mm at Mona Vale 97 mm at Wamberal The intense rain caused flash flooding in some areas. The NSW State Emergency Service responded to around 500 calls for assistance in the Sydney Metropolitan area during the 24 hours to 6am on Friday. In Fairfield, around a dozen properties were evacuated due to floodwater inundating homes. While rain eased for most of central eastern NSW on Friday morning, further showers and thunderstorms are likely during the day as the trough lingers near the coast. Warnings will be issued if any falls become intense enough to cause further flooding, so be sure to keep up to date with the latest warnings in your area.