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Daily Forecast

Humid easterly winds are feeding a trough, bringing heavy showers and storms to southeast Qld and northern and eastern NSW. An unstable airmass brings showers and storms to SA and Vic. Humid, unstable air causes showers and storms over northern WA, the NT and northern Qld.

Now

Min

Max

RainSydneyNSW

19.9°C

20°C
25°C

Mostly SunnyMelbourneVIC

27.5°C

20°C
33°C

Rain ClearingBrisbaneQLD

24.2°C

22°C
29°C

SunnyPerthWA

29.3°C

19°C
34°C

Clearing ShowerAdelaideSA

24.1°C

21°C
30°C

Mostly SunnyCanberraACT

21.0°C

15°C
29°C

Mostly SunnyHobartTAS

16.5°C

13°C
21°C

Possible ShowerDarwinNT

30.8°C

26°C
33°C

Daily Forecast

Humid easterly winds are feeding a trough, bringing heavy showers and storms to southeast Qld and northern and eastern NSW. An unstable airmass brings showers and storms to SA and Vic. Humid, unstable air causes showers and storms over northern WA, the NT and northern Qld.

Now

Min

Max

RainSydneyNSW

19.9°C

20°C
25°C

Mostly SunnyMelbourneVIC

27.5°C

20°C
33°C

Rain ClearingBrisbaneQLD

24.2°C

22°C
29°C

SunnyPerthWA

29.3°C

19°C
34°C

Clearing ShowerAdelaideSA

24.1°C

21°C
30°C

Mostly SunnyCanberraACT

21.0°C

15°C
29°C

Mostly SunnyHobartTAS

16.5°C

13°C
21°C

Possible ShowerDarwinNT

30.8°C

26°C
33°C

Extremes

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Records data is supplied by the Bureau of Meteorology and has not been independently quality controlled.

Latest News


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Today, 5:03AM UTC

Rain and storms to increase over northern Australia

A late-season surge of tropical moisture will cause an increase in rain and thunderstorms over northern Australia in mid-to-late March, along with an elevated risk of tropical cyclone activity near Australia. Forecast models predict that an active phase of the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) will pass to the north of Australia during mid-to-late March. When the MJO is active near Australia, it typically causes an increase in clouds, rain and thunderstorms in the tropics. Rain and thunderstorms are expected to become more active over parts of northern Australia from this weekend into next week. This increased tropical moisture should also contribute to periods of wet and stormy weather over the southern half of Australia in the coming fortnight too. The map below shows the forecast accumulated rain over the next seven days from the ECMWF model, with wet weather likely to affect part of every state and territory.   Image: Forecast accumulated rain in the seven days ending at 11pm AEDT on Monday, March 17, 2025. The presence of the MJO will also boost the likelihood of tropical cyclone activity near northern Australia in the coming fortnight. Some forecast models are already hinting at the potential for a tropical cyclone over the Indian Ocean to the northwest of Australia late next week. It’s too early to know whether this system will form, but meteorologists will be keeping a close eye on the Australian tropics in the coming weeks.

Today, 2:36AM UTC

Dry lightning outbreak sparks multiple fires

A trough crossing southern SA has sparked as many as 40 bushfires due to a combination of dry lightning and parched countryside experiencing ongoing severe rainfall deficiencies, with fires also sparked in Victoria. The dry lightning outbreak started on Monday evening and has continued through to the middle of Tuesday before progressing eastwards into Victoria, with more than 400,000 lightning strikes recorded within 500km of Mount Gambier in southeastern SA between Monday morning and Tuesday lunchtime.  While a few SA locations were lucky enough to see falls of 10mm or more (including Coonawarra with 24.4mm), most locations saw barely a drop – and certainly not enough to negate the effects of a lighting strike.  A SA Country Fire Service spokesperson said that nearly all of the service's 68 brigades and trucks in the state's southeast have been actively responding to calls throughout the night and into the early morning. Image: Fire incidents in SA at 1:30pm on Tuesday, Mar 11, 2025. Source: SA Country Fire Service. You can see how the lightning outbreak developed overnight on the combined radar and lightning loop below, where pink indicates areas of lightning.  Image: Six-hour radar loop showing rain and lightning approaching and then crossing SE South Australia and SW Victoria from 4pm to 10pm on Monday. March 10.  READ MORE: KANGAROO ISLAND, THE ISLAND THAT RAIN FORGOT Many parts of southern SA were also without power overnight due to thunderstorm activity. Image: Map of lightning strikes in SA and VIC on Monday, Mar 10 and the first half of Tuesday, Mar 11, 2025. For firefighters currently tackling blazes in South Australia, the weather outlook is not positive heading into the second of the working week. After a Wednesday and Thursday with max temps in the high 20s or low 30s across much of southeastern SA, maximums will rise sharply to the mid-to-high 30s with highs of 37°C and 38°C expected in Adelaide on Friday and Saturday respectively, as northerly winds strengthen. Please check the latest fire info at the South Australian Country Fire Service or the Emergency Vic Incidents and Warnings page.

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10 Mar 2025, 4:42AM UTC

Alfred delivers one metre of rain in five days

Rainfall observations from the past five days have revealed that parts of southeast Queensland received more than one metre of rain during Tropical Cyclone Alfred’s protracted landfall. Rain associated with Tropical Cyclone Alfred started falling in eastern Australia around Tuesday and Wednesday last week while the system gradually approached the coast. This wet weather continued and intensified during the second half of last week as Alfred edged towards the coast, made landfall as a tropical low on Saturday night and then moved inland on Sunday and Monday. Alfred’s drawn-out journey towards eastern Australia and its prolonged landfall exposed parts of southeast Qld and northeast NSW to a sustained period of rainfall. Within this multi-day soaking were shorter periods of intense rain that caused flash flooding. At the longer timeframe of this event, some areas in southeast Qld received more than one metre of rain over the space of five days. Here are some of the standout accumulated rainfall totals during the 120 hours ending at 9am on Monday, March 10: 1111 mm at Upper Springbrook, Qld 1010 mm at Lower Springbrook, Qld 850 mm at Dorrigo, NSW 820 mm at Tallebudgera Creek Dam, Qld 721 mm at Huonbrook, NSW Image: A quantitative estimate of rainfall over eastern Australia during the 120 hours ending at 9am AEDT on Monday, March 10, 2025. Some areas experienced their wettest day in decades during this event, including Brisbane, which had its wettest day since January 26, 1974. The biggest daily rainfall totals from the past five days occurred in the 24 hours to 9am on Monday, after Ex-Tropical Cyclone Alfred had crossed the coast, with some big totals including: 433 mm at Diamond Valley, Qld 410 mm at Wongawallan, Qld 391 mm at West Woombeye, Qld 357 mm at Kingsholme (Montego Hills), Qld 282 mm at Tomewin, NSW 275.2 mm at Brisbane, Qld Shorter rainfall rates were equally immense, particularly when a convergence line in the wake of Alfred’s core caused heavy and slow-moving thunderstorms over parts of southeast Qld on Sunday into Monday morning. Here are some notable rainfall rates from southeast Qld and northeast NSW over the last few days: 224 mm in 3 hours on Sunday morning at Hervey Bay, Qld 147 mm in 3 hours and 207 mm in 6 hours on Sunday night at Kingsholme (Montego Hills), Qld on Sunday night 112 mm in 3 hours early on Monday morning at Maleny, Qld 105 mm in 1 hour on Sunday afternoon at Fred Haigh Highway, Qld Video: The Queen Mary Falls in southern Qld responding to Alfred's rain. Source: @my_australia_downunder / Instagram The rain associated with Tropical Cyclone Alfred and its remnant low pressure system has caused widespread major riverine flooding and flash flooding in southeast Qld and northeast NSW over the past few days. This flooding has cut off numerous roads in both states, and rivers are likely to remain elevated for days as the floodwaters make their way downstream. Check the latest flood warnings and severe weather warnings in your area for the most up-to-date information and do not attempt to drive through floodwater. A small car can be moved by as little as 15 cm of flowing water, while 60 cm is enough to wash the vehicle away.

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Climate Updates

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03 Feb 2025, 6:15AM UTC

Australia's second-warmest January on record

Australia has recorded its second-warmest January on record, with average temperatures that were 2.15°C above the long-term average across the nation as a whole. Only January 2019 was warmer overall, with temps a whopping 2.85°C above the long-term average in what became Australia's warmest year on record. But January 2025 was still an exceptionally warm month, with every state and territory warmer than usual, while Western Australia endured its warmest January on record. Here's the state-by-state breakdown of January’s mean temperature anomalies (mean temps are the average of max and min temps). South Australia +2.52°C Queensland +2.16°C Northern Territory +2.14°C Western Australia +2.13°C New South Wales* +2.02°C Victoria +1.71°C Tasmania +0.85°C *Note that the ACT is included as part of NSW as it has too few sites for a meaningful territory-wide average. In terms of rainfall, January was relatively dry compared to the long-term norm. Rainfall was 33% down on the long-term average nationwide, and was below-average in all states overall, although some pockets of some states got a heavier soaking than usual. Image: Cyclone Sean gave WA’s Pilbara coast considerably more January rainfall than usual, while the NSW coast was reasonably wet too, though thankfully not in the first week of the year when the men's cricket Test was on at the Sydney Cricket Ground. Source: BoM. When rainfall is below average, that generally means skies have been clear, which in turn tends to point towards warmer weather. So Australia's dryish January partly explains the exceptionally warm temperatures nationwide. But the underlying influence of climate change must also be taken into consideration, as illustrated in the graph below. Image: The warming trend is unmistakable. Source: BoM.

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06 Jan 2025, 1:19AM UTC

Record-warm oceans surrounded Australia in 2024

The Australian region set a new record for ocean temperatures in 2024, with sea surface temperatures close to 0.9°C above the long-term average. Australia's annual mean sea surface temperature during 2024 was 0.89°C above the 1961-1990 average. This was the highest annual sea surface temperature on record, beating the previous record anomaly of +0.80°C from 2022. Image: Annual sea surface temperature anomalies in the Australian region between 1900 and 2024. Source: Bureau of Meteorology January, February, October, November and December all set new records for their respective months. Every other month in 2024 ranked among the top three warmest on record for their respective months, based on data dating back to 1900. The abnormally warm water surrounding Australia over the last 12 months was part of a larger story of record-breaking global oceanic heat in 2024. According to data published by the Bureau of Meteorology, Earth’s global average annual sea surface temperature in 2024 was about 0.79°C above the 1960-1990 average. This is also a record, beating 0.74°C from 2023, despite the cooling influence of a La Niña-like pattern, which typically lowers the average global temperature. Image: Global annual sea surface temperature anomalies between 1900 and 2024. Source: Bureau of Meteorology The graphs above reveal a clear warming trend in ocean temperatures. In the Australian region, sea surface temperatures have warmed by around 1.1°C since 1910 and warming has occurred around the entire country. Image: Trend in sea surface temperatures near Australia between 1980 and 2024. Source: Bureau of Meteorology The warm water surrounding Australia in 2024 was one of the reasons the country registered its second warmest year on record based on air temperature. It also helped make the air over Australia more humid than usual.

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02 Jan 2025, 12:06AM UTC

Australia registers 2nd warmest year on record

Australia’s annual mean temperature was close to 1.5°C above average in 2024, making it the country’s second warmest year on record. Data released this week by the Bureau of Meteorology has revealed that Australia’s national mean temperature in 2024 was 1.46°C above the 1961-1990 average. This is only the second time in 115 years of records that Australia’s annual temperature has been more than 1.4°C above this 30-year baseline. The only warmer year was 2019 – Australia's warmest and driest year on record – which had a mean annual temperature anomaly of +1.51°C. Image: Australia’s annual mean temperature anomalies between 1910 and 2024. Source: Bureau of Meteorology What makes 2024 exceptional is that, unlike 2019, there was quite a lot of rain in Australia, with 2024 ranking as the country’s wettest year since 2011 and its 8th wettest year in records dating back to 1900. Historically, Australia’s warmest years have coincided with periods of low rainfall and drought. While some parts of southern and western Australia did see lacklustre rainfall in 2024, most of the country was abnormally wet. The map below shows the annual rainfall deciles in 2024. The blue areas had a wetter-than-average year, and the red areas were drier than usual. Image: Rainfall deciles in 2024. Source: Bureau of Meteorology The next map shows mean temperature deciles across Australia in 2024, revealing that all of the country experienced near to above average annual temperatures despite the abundant rainfall. Much of the west coast and parts of central and eastern Australia had their warmest year on record. Image: Mean temperature deciles for 2024. Source: Bureau of Meteorology This coincidence of above average rainfall and record-challenging heat speaks to the influence climate change is having on Australia’s baseline temperatures. Even in a year riddled with cloud cover, rainfall and thunderstorms, temperatures were still substantially warmer than recent decades. One reason for the excessive rainfall in 2024 was abnormally warm seas surrounding Australia, which enhanced evaporation and provided more fuel for precipitation. While the annual average sea surface temperature is not yet available for the Australian region, it’s likely that 2024 will be also one of the country’s top two warmest years on record for oceanic heat.

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07 Mar 2023, 1:09AM UTC

Climate Update - Summer 2022-23

Australia just had one of its coolest and wettest summers of the last decade. However, there were clear signs that La Ni�a is finally losing its grip on Australia?s weather.

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